#projects |
#Risks |
type |
delivery method |
size |
|
34 |
2877 |
All |
All |
500 M - 1 B |
|
Number |
Risk |
Frequency |
Prob |
Cost |
Schedule |
1 |
construction and utility costs |
100 |
0.53 |
20.96 |
0.72 |
2 |
change orders |
100 |
0.66 |
3.27 |
0.77 |
3 |
change in design during construction |
70.59 |
0.58 |
2.87 |
0.30 |
4 |
additional right of way required |
70.59 |
0.43 |
27.71 |
1.73 |
5 |
higher real estate cost due to development, annexation, rezoning or other changes to currently vacant land that could greatly increase value |
64.71 |
0.23 |
0.59 |
1.00 |
6 |
different site conditions |
64.71 |
0.31 |
2.39 |
0.25 |
7 |
changes to architectural, css, landscape design |
61.76 |
0.58 |
1.13 |
0.30 |
8 |
right of way |
55.88 |
0.61 |
6.59 |
|
9 |
changes to design standards |
55.88 |
0.21 |
1.85 |
0.69 |
10 |
right of way acquisition |
52.94 |
0.47 |
8.61 |
1.27 |
11 |
design changes on bridge or overpass |
50.00 |
0.27 |
1.55 |
-2.30 |
12 |
permits or agency actions delayed or take longer than expected |
50.00 |
0.13 |
|
0.28 |
13 |
permit work windows |
50.00 |
0.21 |
|
0.62 |
14 |
additional preconstruction costs (administration and design extended overheads) due to schedule delays |
47.06 |
0.50 |
29.58 |
2.00 |
15 |
construction noise |
47.06 |
0.39 |
0.38 |
1.00 |
16 |
changes in alignment |
44.12 |
0.31 |
2.25 |
0.00 |
17 |
weather delays |
41.18 |
0.45 |
0.20 |
1.99 |
18 |
encounter significant archaeological resources |
41.18 |
0.06 |
0.36 |
0.16 |
19 |
maintenance of traffic |
41.18 |
0.35 |
1.37 |
1.42 |
20 |
delays during the request for proposal process |
41.18 |
0.50 |
0.08 |
1.58 |
21 |
delay in acquisition due to design change |
38.24 |
0.33 |
153.00 |
1.20 |
22 |
adaptive management of (natural environment) mitigation |
38.24 |
0.14 |
|
0.18 |
23 |
reduction in bridge superstructure depth using fibs |
38.24 |
0.71 |
-2.40 |
2.00 |
24 |
coordination issues |
35.29 |
|
|
|
25 |
bridge - changing geotechnical conditions (due to new information) on 8 |
35.29 |
0.43 |
7.86 |
1.38 |
26 |
increase cost for mitigation |
35.29 |
0.65 |
1.39 |
3.00 |
27 |
delays in utility relocation |
35.29 |
0.13 |
|
0.60 |
28 |
delays in utility agreements |
35.29 |
0.05 |
|
0.03 |
29 |
approval for design exceptions - conceptual design - need to submit to fhwa - have had initial discussions |
32.35 |
0.08 |
1.00 |
0.20 |
30 |
additional sound walls required |
32.35 |
0.20 |
1.60 |
2.00 |
31 |
design coordination / approvals with other agencies affected by or affecting this project |
32.35 |
0.12 |
|
0.58 |
32 |
difference in economic conditions compared to revenue forecast assumptions for project opening (below) there may be lower traffic volumes |
32.35 |
0.67 |
|
|
33 |
design changes impact construction costs and schedule |
32.35 |
0.10 |
0.08 |
0.30 |
34 |
additional construction easements formerly labeled r-4 |
32.35 |
0.50 |
0.38 |
|
35 |
utility coordination |
32.35 |
0.58 |
|
3.10 |
36 |
contractor bid price adjustments related to market conditions |
32.35 |
0.40 |
2.83 |
2.00 |
37 |
change in configuration of one or more interchange |
29.41 |
|
|
|
38 |
finding new sinkholes in geotech investigation (for section 7a) |
29.41 |
0.08 |
0.67 |
1.00 |
39 |
determination of secondary impacts to wetlands (for section 8) |
29.41 |
0.08 |
1.01 |
0.86 |
40 |
utility relocation may not happen on time |
29.41 |
0.23 |
1.00 |
1.98 |
41 |
unanticipated contaminated or hazardous materials discovered during construction (other than captured separately) |
29.41 |
0.35 |
0.75 |
0.14 |
42 |
design review delays project schedule |
29.41 |
0.17 |
|
0.43 |
43 |
changes in design during design |
29.41 |
0.73 |
-12.20 |
|
44 |
additional refinements to floating bridge design require more wind/wave analysis (construction impact) |
29.41 |
0.41 |
1.35 |
0.00 |
45 |
change in environmental regulations |
29.41 |
0.33 |
0.08 |
0.35 |
46 |
changes in tolling locations |
29.41 |
0.46 |
0.55 |
0.19 |
47 |
erosion control |
26.47 |
0.33 |
0.79 |
|
48 |
relic sinkhole issues (for section 7a) |
26.47 |
0.21 |
0.82 |
0.96 |
49 |
changing assumptions on technical issues |
26.47 |
0.38 |
|
0.20 |
50 |
buried man-made objects and unidentified hazardous materials found in construction |
26.47 |
0.38 |
|
|
51 |
pressure to deliver project on an accelerated schedule |
26.47 |
0.56 |
7.50 |
-3.00 |
52 |
connections between segments (for section 7a) |
26.47 |
0.38 |
1.24 |
1.00 |
53 |
changing geotechnical conditions |
26.47 |
0.30 |
0.77 |
|
54 |
change to design assumptions for retaining walls |
26.47 |
0.30 |
1.35 |
|
55 |
delay of funding |
26.47 |
0.04 |
|
1.82 |
56 |
delays to finish of feis from programmatic enviromental delays |
26.47 |
0.36 |
|
0.28 |
57 |
section 4(f) resources affected |
23.53 |
0.40 |
|
|
58 |
design quality control - dbc task |
23.53 |
|
|
|
59 |
delay in right of way document internal approval process |
23.53 |
0.05 |
|
0.04 |
60 |
enhancement requests |
23.53 |
0.21 |
0.25 |
|
61 |
hazardous materials |
23.53 |
0.24 |
0.01 |
0.47 |
62 |
additional aquatic mitigation resources are required beyond those specified elsewhere |
23.53 |
0.68 |
0.01 |
0.07 |
63 |
favorable market conditions there may be developer refinances |
23.53 |
0.50 |
3.50 |
|
64 |
endangered species discovered there may be environmental delays |
23.53 |
0.52 |
|
3.08 |
65 |
incident management |
23.53 |
|
|
|
66 |
negative community impacts cause delays |
23.53 |
0.28 |
|
1.18 |
67 |
environmental compliance - known permit conditions/restrictions - unexpected permit conditions |
23.53 |
0.22 |
1.00 |
0.25 |
68 |
risk of acquiring additional access |
23.53 |
0.17 |
0.20 |
|
69 |
federal highway administration approval |
23.53 |
0.43 |
108.00 |
1.05 |
70 |
subgrade issues- muck |
23.53 |
0.33 |
0.72 |
|
71 |
work restrictions |
23.53 |
|
|
|
72 |
risk that there are issues with pontoons after they are accepted from gray's harbor. |
20.59 |
0.31 |
0.45 |
0.77 |
73 |
additional third party agreements and/or mitigation (other than addressed separately) |
20.59 |
0.38 |
5.47 |
|
74 |
noise wall is increased in size |
20.59 |
0.19 |
0.35 |
0.00 |
75 |
contract delay / change in scope due to project staging conflicts |
20.59 |
0.33 |
|
1.18 |
76 |
pepco utility transmission |
20.59 |
0.43 |
0.95 |
|
77 |
safety issues |
20.59 |
0.10 |
0.20 |
|
78 |
matenance during construction |
20.59 |
0.55 |
0.00 |
0.20 |
79 |
expedite geotechnical investigation |
20.59 |
0.30 |
1.50 |
0.00 |
80 |
replacement of existing culverts |
20.59 |
0.80 |
2.40 |
|
81 |
issues gaining city of seattle and city of medina street use permit |
20.59 |
|
|
|
82 |
replacement strategy decision for ammo road and miramar way oc. |
20.59 |
|
|
|
83 |
right of way change due to base concept design change |
20.59 |
0.30 |
55.00 |
|
84 |
consultant contract authority exceeded before design is complete |
20.59 |
0.25 |
0.05 |
|
85 |
threat of lawsuits |
20.59 |
0.40 |
|
2.60 |
86 |
outstanding task orders |
20.59 |
|
|
|
87 |
excavation operation |
20.59 |
0.1775 |
0.05 |
0.94 |
88 |
structural steel |
20.59 |
0.75 |
0.00 |
|
89 |
condemnation takeslonger than expected (for section 1a) |
20.59 |
0.107142857142857 |
|
0.235714285714286 |
90 |
tunnel cross-section immersed tube tunnel (itt) vs. bored tunnel |
20.59 |
0.25 |
5.00 |
|
91 |
identify potential staging areas and dry dock availability |
20.59 |
|
|
|
92 |
changes in structure and embankment |
20.59 |
0.175 |
|
|
93 |
additional ground improvement might be required |
20.59 |
0.165 |
|
0.37695 |
94 |
changes in profile |
20.59 |
0.345 |
1.00 |
|
95 |
change in critical staffing during the project |
20.59 |
|
|
|
96 |
late issue in design discovered, requiring more time to finalize design (for section 7b) |
20.59 |
0.114285714285714 |
1.00 |
1 |
97 |
cost premium associated with availability of labor |
20.59 |
|
|
|
98 |
new storm water rule - water quantity and quality issues |
20.59 |
0.2 |
0.75 |
|
99 |
maintaining local access |
20.59 |
0.85 |
|
|
100 |
wetland and aquatic habitat mitigation different than assumed |
20.59 |
|
|
|