#projects |
#Risks |
type |
delivery method |
size |
|
14 |
1244 |
New roadway |
All |
All |
|
Number |
Risk |
Frequency |
Prob |
Cost |
Schedule |
1 |
construction and utility costs |
100 |
0.72 |
30.52 |
2.00 |
2 |
changes in alignment |
100 |
0.49 |
5.54 |
0.00 |
3 |
higher real estate cost due to development, annexation, rezoning or other changes to currently vacant land that could greatly increase value |
100 |
0.26 |
0.59 |
1.00 |
4 |
hazardous materials |
100 |
0.61 |
0.16 |
2.90 |
5 |
changes in design during design |
100 |
0.51 |
2.02 |
6.00 |
6 |
permits or agency actions delayed or take longer than expected |
100 |
0.11 |
0.00 |
0.26 |
7 |
delays due to relocation requirements for right of way |
100 |
0.27 |
0.98 |
2.63 |
8 |
right of way cost |
92.9 |
0.70 |
15.84 |
3.00 |
9 |
coordination with local agencies (for section 8) |
85.7 |
0.11 |
0.51 |
1.00 |
10 |
design coordination / approvals with other agencies affected by or affecting this project |
85.7 |
0.12 |
|
0.59 |
11 |
permit work windows |
85.7 |
0.20 |
|
0.68 |
12 |
finding new sinkholes in geotech investigation (for section 7a) |
78.6 |
0.08 |
0.58 |
1.00 |
13 |
delay in agreements |
78.6 |
0.46 |
0.25 |
1.54 |
14 |
reduction in bridge superstructure depth using fibs |
78.6 |
0.70 |
0.55 |
2.00 |
15 |
design schedule constraints |
78.6 |
0.55 |
|
2.02 |
16 |
its (intelligent transportation system) and advanced traffic management |
78.6 |
0.44 |
1.66 |
1.42 |
17 |
changed design criteria |
78.6 |
0.10 |
0.67 |
0.55 |
18 |
drainage |
78.6 |
-0.24 |
0.64 |
|
19 |
defer building elliot road traffic interchange ramps |
71.4 |
-0.10 |
0.30 |
|
20 |
right of way acquisition |
71.4 |
0.29 |
20.00 |
0.20 |
21 |
delay in acquisition due to design change |
71.4 |
0.21 |
|
0.80 |
22 |
hurricane, earthquake, terrorist attack, war, pandemic |
71.4 |
0.07 |
3.38 |
0.15 |
23 |
relic sinkhole issues (for section 7a) |
64.3 |
0.21 |
0.82 |
0.96 |
24 |
connections between segments (for section 7a) |
64.3 |
0.38 |
1.24 |
1.00 |
25 |
market conditions - 8 |
64.3 |
0.40 |
2.83 |
2.00 |
26 |
risk of acquiring additional access |
64.3 |
0.21 |
0.21 |
1.50 |
27 |
late issue in design discovered, requiring more time to finalize design (for section 7b) |
57.1 |
0.11 |
0.52 |
1.00 |
28 |
environmental mitigation costs |
57.1 |
0.70 |
2.35 |
|
29 |
additional sound walls required |
57.1 |
0.19 |
0.80 |
|
30 |
environmental permits |
57.1 |
0.76 |
0.09 |
3.00 |
31 |
market conditions at bid time different than assumed in the base |
50.0 |
0.34 |
1.50 |
|
32 |
archeological finding during construction |
50.0 |
0.60 |
0.10 |
4.76 |
33 |
maintenance standards |
50.0 |
0.67 |
0.40 |
|
34 |
maintenance performance |
50.0 |
0.50 |
|
|
35 |
different site conditions |
50.0 |
0.88 |
7.00 |
0.19 |
36 |
legal challenges |
50.0 |
0.21 |
0.00 |
1.85 |
37 |
condemnation takeslonger than expected (for section 1a) |
50.0 |
0.11 |
|
0.24 |
38 |
change in configuration of one or more interchange |
50.0 |
|
|
|
39 |
legislative change |
50.0 |
0.05 |
0.23 |
|
40 |
additional mitigation for construction impacts (not captured elsewhere) |
50.0 |
0.38 |
0.39 |
0.33 |
41 |
design changes on bridge or overpass |
50.0 |
0.20 |
-1.50 |
|
42 |
determination of secondary impacts to wetlands (for section 8) |
42.9 |
0.13 |
1.01 |
1.41 |
43 |
traffic and revenue |
42.9 |
0.10 |
0.23 |
|
44 |
changes to design of permanent traffic items (its, illumination, intersection, tolling etc.) |
42.9 |
0.95 |
|
|
45 |
additional sound walls required - 8 |
42.9 |
0.06 |
1.03 |
1.00 |
46 |
changes to architectural, css, landscape design (for section 7b) |
42.9 |
0.24 |
0.55 |
1.00 |
47 |
reduced pond size requires less right of way |
42.9 |
0.48 |
-1.18 |
|
48 |
environmental compliance |
42.9 |
0.30 |
0.05 |
2.30 |
49 |
changed bridge foundation design due to geotechnical information (other structures than addressed separately) |
42.9 |
0.47 |
-1.50 |
|
50 |
delayed utility relocations (other than pg&e transmission) |
42.9 |
0.22 |
|
0.80 |
51 |
delay to fema and floodplain approvals |
42.9 |
|
|
|
52 |
issues in air quality for construction materials |
42.9 |
|
|
|
53 |
impacts to cultural, archeological and historic sites |
42.9 |
0.07 |
0.10 |
0.12 |
54 |
potential for lawsuits related to right of way |
42.9 |
0.43 |
0.05 |
6.15 |
55 |
delay in obtaining rod (record of decision) |
42.9 |
0.40 |
|
10.00 |
56 |
discovery of unknown utilities during construction |
42.9 |
0.34 |
0.40 |
0.30 |
57 |
changes in profile |
42.9 |
0.29 |
0.08 |
|
58 |
bridge - changing geotechnical conditions (due to new information) on 8 |
42.9 |
0.45 |
4.00 |
2.00 |
59 |
design review delays project schedule |
42.9 |
|
|
|
60 |
incident management |
42.9 |
0.70 |
0.02 |
|
61 |
subsurface conditions |
42.9 |
0.35 |
35.00 |
0.00 |
62 |
changing geotechnical conditions |
42.9 |
0.24 |
0.59 |
|
63 |
utilities |
42.9 |
0.50 |
|
3.00 |
64 |
general economic conditions |
35.7 |
0.50 |
3.50 |
|
65 |
contract failure and dispute |
35.7 |
0.25 |
11.00 |
0.30 |
66 |
maintaining local access |
35.7 |
0.85 |
1.70 |
|
67 |
frontage roads |
35.7 |
0.30 |
|
|
68 |
protected/ endangered species present |
35.7 |
0.02 |
|
|
69 |
changing assumptions on technical issues |
35.7 |
0.53 |
|
|
70 |
change orders |
35.7 |
0.74 |
2.40 |
|
71 |
cost and availability of finance |
35.7 |
0.30 |
|
0.00 |
72 |
threat of lawsuits |
35.7 |
0.20 |
|
2.60 |
73 |
funding delays (e.g., due to delayed bond issuance) |
35.7 |
0.25 |
|
6.00 |
74 |
utility relocations |
35.7 |
0.49 |
|
0.01 |
75 |
ns railroad crossing |
35.7 |
0.50 |
|
0.00 |
76 |
change in environmental regulations |
35.7 |
0.13 |
|
0.35 |
77 |
compensable weather delays |
35.7 |
0.50 |
|
0.19 |
78 |
replacement of existing culverts |
35.7 |
|
|
|
79 |
change in design during construction |
35.7 |
|
|
|
80 |
railroad work restrictions |
35.7 |
|
|
|
81 |
nepa(national environmental policy act) approvals |
35.7 |
0.50 |
0.00 |
3.00 |
82 |
construction inflation |
35.7 |
0.20 |
|
0.00 |
83 |
delay in right of way document internal approval process |
35.7 |
0.13 |
0.50 |
0.63 |
84 |
negative community impacts cause delays |
35.7 |
0.50 |
|
2.25 |
85 |
security |
35.7 |
0.80 |
|
|
86 |
railroad agreements |
35.7 |
-0.01 |
0.50 |
3.00 |
87 |
market conditions – 1a |
35.7 |
0.37 |
0.55 |
2.00 |
88 |
preliminary engineering cost |
35.7 |
1.00 |
28.90 |
|
89 |
geometric design change - vertical profile |
35.7 |
-0.20 |
1.60 |
|
90 |
schedule delay from not obtaining tifia(transportation infrastructure finance and innovation act) |
35.7 |
0.45 |
|
9.00 |
91 |
operations staffing |
35.7 |
|
|
|
92 |
delayed approval of design exceptions |
35.7 |
0.45 |
|
0.94 |
93 |
interference from other projects |
35.7 |
|
|
|
94 |
shortening in structure length |
35.7 |
0.29 |
-0.75 |
|
95 |
changes in tolling locations |
35.7 |
0.25 |
|
|
96 |
opportunity for structures |
35.7 |
-0.16 |
12.50 |
|
97 |
potential changes on specifications for toll infrastructure |
35.7 |
0.39 |
|
1.00 |
98 |
funding shortage and change in funding |
35.7 |
0.63 |
|
0.00 |
99 |
access and construction phasing |
35.7 |
|
|
|
100 |
latent defects |
35.7 |
0.18 |
1.20 |
|