#projects |
#Risks |
type |
delivery method |
size |
|
19 |
1475 |
All |
P3 |
All |
|
Number |
Risk |
Frequency |
Prob |
Cost |
Schedule |
1 |
drainage |
100.00 |
0.29 |
1.47 |
0.00 |
2 |
changes in design required additional right of way |
94.74 |
0.59 |
0.36 |
4.83 |
3 |
construction schedule delay |
84.21 |
0.69 |
8.00 |
2.63 |
4 |
delays due to relocation requirements for right of way |
68.42 |
0.42 |
0.78 |
3.96 |
5 |
contaminated or hazardous materials |
68.42 |
0.54 |
5.40 |
2.54 |
6 |
its (intelligent transportation system) and advanced traffic management |
63.16 |
0.48 |
3.70 |
0.55 |
7 |
different site conditions |
52.63 |
0.80 |
3.44 |
0.09 |
8 |
right of way acquisition |
52.63 |
0.36 |
20.00 |
4.52 |
9 |
maintenance standards |
52.63 |
0.51 |
0.46 |
|
10 |
cost and availability of finance |
47.37 |
0.13 |
10.50 |
0.03 |
11 |
legislative change |
47.37 |
0.07 |
0.16 |
0.27 |
12 |
coordination with usace |
47.37 |
0.19 |
0.10 |
0.00 |
13 |
hurricane, earthquake, terrorist attack, war, pandemic |
47.37 |
0.07 |
4.29 |
0.18 |
14 |
insurance |
47.37 |
0.37 |
1.50 |
0.00 |
15 |
design oversights may cause additional costs and delays during design, construction and operations phases |
47.37 |
0.44 |
2.34 |
0.67 |
16 |
flooding, first occurance, compensible event |
47.37 |
0.45 |
0.04 |
0.49 |
17 |
difference in economic conditions compared to revenue forecast assumptions for project opening (below) there may be lower traffic volumes |
47.37 |
|
|
|
18 |
latent defects |
42.11 |
0.13 |
0.37 |
0.20 |
19 |
routine maintenance |
42.11 |
0.00 |
0.04 |
0.00 |
20 |
endangered species |
42.11 |
0.10 |
|
|
21 |
defer building elliot road traffic interchange ramps |
42.11 |
0.10 |
2.40 |
|
22 |
adverse weather |
42.11 |
0.33 |
0.01 |
0.04 |
23 |
failure of developer to conduct operation and maintenance on a timely basis there may be reduced asset life |
42.11 |
0.05 |
0.00 |
|
24 |
incident management |
42.11 |
0.85 |
0.02 |
|
25 |
design approvals |
42.11 |
0.13 |
0.20 |
0.25 |
26 |
materials supply |
36.84 |
0.50 |
3.50 |
0.50 |
27 |
additional traffic control costs |
36.84 |
|
|
|
28 |
archeological finding during construction |
36.84 |
0.55 |
0.73 |
3.48 |
29 |
legal costs for environmental litigation |
36.84 |
0.53 |
3.00 |
10.80 |
30 |
evolving project definition leads to design related scope creep |
36.84 |
0.65 |
13.75 |
1.80 |
31 |
discovery of unknown utilities during construction |
36.84 |
0.38 |
0.28 |
0.42 |
32 |
labor |
36.84 |
0.51 |
|
0.20 |
33 |
design builder innovation |
36.84 |
0.33 |
2.33 |
-3.38 |
34 |
constructability of uprr bridge |
31.58 |
0.50 |
|
0.00 |
35 |
capital maintenance performance |
31.58 |
|
|
|
36 |
cost of relocating overextends utility |
31.58 |
0.88 |
0.50 |
2.25 |
37 |
encountering unexpected subsurface conditions |
31.58 |
0.25 |
35.00 |
0.15 |
38 |
changes in codes and standards during project |
31.58 |
0.10 |
|
0.00 |
39 |
traffic and revenue |
31.58 |
|
30.00 |
|
40 |
utility agreements prior to final request for proposal |
31.58 |
|
|
|
41 |
environmental permits |
31.58 |
0.63 |
0.06 |
2.33 |
42 |
legal challenge |
31.58 |
0.01 |
0.00 |
0.00 |
43 |
geotechnical surveys late |
31.58 |
0.02 |
|
0.01 |
44 |
quality assurance and quality control |
31.58 |
0.21 |
1.63 |
0.20 |
45 |
freeway lighting |
31.58 |
|
3.00 |
|
46 |
tifia (transportation infrastructure finance and innovation act) |
31.58 |
0.12 |
5.00 |
0.75 |
47 |
construction of the connecting segment by brazoria county there may be construction is not completed on time |
26.32 |
|
|
|
48 |
confined space during construction there may be reduced traffic safety conditions |
26.32 |
0.63 |
7.00 |
0.93 |
49 |
operations staffing |
26.32 |
|
|
|
50 |
adjacent medical center complex there may be noise and vibration impacts |
26.32 |
0.42 |
0.45 |
0.27 |
51 |
delays in close of finance there may be funding/financing not available |
26.32 |
|
|
|
52 |
better define siphons and utility relocation design |
26.32 |
|
-1.00 |
|
53 |
gas transmission line |
26.32 |
0.10 |
|
|
54 |
vdot contract administration |
26.32 |
0.28 |
7.00 |
0.68 |
55 |
difference in project delivery methods used for the project segments: dbfom (txdot); and dbb (brazoria) there may be different risk profiles and incentives structure |
26.32 |
|
|
|
56 |
delay in obtaining rod (record of decision) |
26.32 |
0.40 |
|
10.00 |
57 |
nepa(national environmental policy act) approvals |
26.32 |
0.50 |
|
3.00 |
58 |
security |
26.32 |
|
|
|
59 |
political pressure there may be change in scope (e.g. toll points or ramps) |
26.32 |
|
|
|
60 |
frontage roads |
26.32 |
|
|
|
61 |
an equity member pulls out of developer team during construction there may be uncertainty in developer team |
26.32 |
|
|
|
62 |
poor soil permeability rates - drainage |
26.32 |
|
|
|
63 |
railroad agreements |
26.32 |
-0.20 |
0.50 |
|
64 |
added requirements for drainage within railroad property |
26.32 |
|
0.50 |
|
65 |
fhwa(federal highway administration) approval delays |
26.32 |
0.45 |
|
0.26 |
66 |
potential additional drainage and right of way costs to implement pending new stormwater requrements. |
26.32 |
0.63 |
2.70 |
1.00 |
67 |
permitting and approvals for which pa has sole resp. |
26.32 |
0.17 |
0.00 |
0.26 |
68 |
pressure to deliver project on an accelerated schedule |
26.32 |
0.90 |
|
2.01 |
69 |
commodity price escalation increases project costs |
26.32 |
0.50 |
20.00 |
|
70 |
design incomplete or in error (during design) |
26.32 |
|
1.50 |
|
71 |
long delays in relocating utilities there may be additional coordination |
26.32 |
0.70 |
0.40 |
0.01 |
72 |
force majeure |
26.32 |
0.14 |
0.01 |
1.07 |
73 |
work within existing footprint, contractor to prepare final design |
26.32 |
0.50 |
|
-7.73 |
74 |
interest rate |
26.32 |
0.42 |
25.00 |
|
75 |
uncooperative utility companies |
26.32 |
0.72 |
10.00 |
2.07 |
76 |
opportunity for structures |
26.32 |
|
12.50 |
|
77 |
contract dispute |
26.32 |
0.53 |
0.84 |
0.27 |
78 |
geotechnical and sink holes |
26.32 |
0.04 |
0.60 |
0.03 |
79 |
csc / back office operations center |
26.32 |
|
0.00 |
|
80 |
pavement design |
26.32 |
|
2.40 |
|
81 |
right of way clearance |
26.32 |
0.22 |
1.88 |
|
82 |
reuse and rehab existing pavement |
26.32 |
0.60 |
0.38 |
0.00 |
83 |
commodity cost decrease |
26.32 |
|
0.02 |
|
84 |
accuracy of current cost estimates |
21.05 |
|
|
|
85 |
procurement process |
21.05 |
0.37 |
|
0.80 |
86 |
utilities |
21.05 |
0.55 |
|
1.51 |
87 |
operation of tolling equipment |
21.05 |
|
|
|
88 |
technical advances during project - allow for innovation |
21.05 |
|
|
|
89 |
construction inflation |
21.05 |
0.2 |
|
0 |
90 |
damage to unknown utilities |
21.05 |
0.25 |
|
|
91 |
complex structure optimization on i-285/sr400 interchange |
21.05 |
|
|
|
92 |
stability of existing viaduct during construction |
21.05 |
0.2 |
|
0 |
93 |
connecting facilities |
21.05 |
|
|
|
94 |
state wide change compliance |
21.05 |
0.5 |
|
|
95 |
handover and handback |
21.05 |
|
|
|
96 |
historic and cultural resources |
21.05 |
0.0425 |
|
0.15 |
97 |
structures contingency 1 |
21.05 |
|
|
|
98 |
materials quality |
21.05 |
|
|
|
99 |
innovative traffic control methods |
21.05 |
|
|
|
100 |
competing facilities |
21.05 |
|
|
|